Altona Magic 4-0 Melbourne Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 32%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.78/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.60
-3% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses 19.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altona Magic
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Melbourne Knights
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.26 xG 1.11
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
314 Passes 330
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2024 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-1 HT 1-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
20.04.2024 Altona Magic Altona Magic 1-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
24.06.2023 Altona Magic Altona Magic 3-2 HT 1-2 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
12.08.2022 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-1 HT 0-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
07.05.2022 Altona Magic Altona Magic 1-0 HT 1-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
16.04.2021 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-1 HT 1-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Altona Magic vs Melbourne Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altona Magic swept aside Melbourne Knights 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Altona Magic as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altona Magic had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Altona Magic and 1.17 for Melbourne Knights.

What was the final score of Altona Magic vs Melbourne Knights?

Altona Magic 4-0 Melbourne Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altona Magic vs Melbourne Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altona Magic win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Altona Magic 49%, draw 25%, Melbourne Knights 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altona Magic), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Altona Magic) ✓ BTTS No
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