Sibenik 0-1 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.09
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
46%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.38
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
4.62
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
17%
+11.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
46%
Away Win
58%
-12.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sibenik EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 62%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
0.81/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.77
-21% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
15.7 Crosses 17.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sibenik
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Rijeka
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.76 xG 1.30
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
241 Passes 359
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 1-1 HT 1-1 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
08.12.2024 Sibenik Sibenik 0-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
22.09.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 2-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
08.04.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
28.01.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 1-2 HT 1-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
18.09.2022 Rijeka Rijeka 0-0 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sibenik
0-1
AWAY Rijeka
0.53 xG 0.41
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
218 Passes 212
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sibenik vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka edged past Sibenik 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sibenik had 51% of the ball to Rijeka's 49%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.53 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sibenik and 1.33 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Sibenik vs Rijeka?

Sibenik 0-1 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sibenik vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sibenik 28%, draw 25%, Rijeka 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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