Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-3 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.52/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.31
+32% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
20.4 Crosses 13.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Novi Pazar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.68 xG 1.05
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
300 Passes 241
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.02.2025 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-0 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
04.12.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRBK
28.09.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
11.04.2024 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-1 HT 2-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRBK
26.11.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-4 HT 0-2 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
30.07.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
2-3
AWAY Novi Pazar
2.64 xG 1.27
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
350 Passes 149
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
53 Box Touches 10
33 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar nicked a narrow win over Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had 67% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 33%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.64 to 1.27 — the balance of chances actually favoured Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and 1.83 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Novi Pazar?

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-3 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 43%, draw 25%, Novi Pazar 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✓ BTTS Yes
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