AIK 2-4 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 10 May 2026

AIK
2-4 HT 1-3
Djurgarden
📅10/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2026

AIK vs Djurgarden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.91
Over
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.34
2-3
44%
1.76
4-5
20%
3.31
6+
10%
12.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.78
1/2
5%
27.0
1/X
9%
12.7
X/1
12%
5.79
X/2
14%
5.65
X/X
10%
4.68
2/1 ✗
6%
28.0
2/2
18%
3.64
2/X
6%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 6% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AIK v Djurgarden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.57/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.29
+0% / +137% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
19.0 Crosses 18.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

AIK vs Djurgarden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Djurgarden
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.50 xG 0.76
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
290 Passes 382
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
10.08.2025 AIK AIK 0-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
04.05.2025 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-1 HT 1-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
18.08.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-2 HT 0-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
21.04.2024 AIK AIK 2-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
17.03.2024 AIK AIK 1-1 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇK
24.09.2023 AIK AIK 2-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ

AIK 2-4 Djurgarden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AIK
2-4
AWAY Djurgarden
1.62 xG 2.55
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 9
309 Passes 223
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 36
27 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AIK vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden beat AIK 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Djurgarden found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AIK had 57% of the ball to Djurgarden's 43%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 1.62 to 2.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AIK and 0.33 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of AIK vs Djurgarden?

AIK 2-4 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated a AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AIK 38%, draw 26%, Djurgarden 37%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AIK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AIK) ✓ BTTS Yes
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