Greifswalder SV 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 49%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.02/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.58
-25% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2025 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 3-0 HT 0-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
25.04.2025 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
03.11.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
18.02.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 4-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
26.08.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 0-1 HT 0-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
17.02.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 3-1 HT 0-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs Lokomotive Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greifswalder SV and Lokomotive Leipzig shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotive Leipzig at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Greifswalder SV and 1.17 for Lokomotive Leipzig.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Greifswalder SV 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotive Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 31%, draw 24%, Lokomotive Leipzig 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
10 May 2026
15:00 Phönix Lübeck vs Altona 93 Analysis →
15:00 Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo Analysis →
15:00 Magdeburg II vs Babelsberg Analysis →
16:00 Bremer SV vs VfB Oldenburg Analysis →
16:00 St. Pauli II vs Hamburg II Analysis →
18:00 Borussia Dortmund II vs Köln II Analysis →