St. Pauli II 1-1 Hamburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
33%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.5pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.34/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.81
-9% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
355 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli II
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Hamburg II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.12.2025 Hamburg II Hamburg II 4-1 HT 2-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
12.04.2025 Hamburg II Hamburg II 4-2 HT 1-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
06.10.2024 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-4 HT 1-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
31.03.2024 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-0 HT 0-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
30.09.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
21.04.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-4 HT 1-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH St. Pauli II vs Hamburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II and Hamburg II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hamburg II at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg II led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Pauli II and 3.17 for Hamburg II.

What was the final score of St. Pauli II vs Hamburg II?

St. Pauli II 1-1 Hamburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli II vs Hamburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli II 28%, draw 25%, Hamburg II 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamburg II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamburg II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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