Hamburg II 4-1 St. Pauli II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
19%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.49
No
35%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
47%
+5.0pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.1pp
19%
Away Win
30%
-10.1pp
65%
BTTS Yes
63%
+2.0pp
35%
BTTS No
37%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
2.41/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.44
+43% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg II
6W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Pauli II
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Hamburg II Hamburg II 4-2 HT 1-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
06.10.2024 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-4 HT 1-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
31.03.2024 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-0 HT 0-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
30.09.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
21.04.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-4 HT 1-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
14.10.2022 Hamburg II Hamburg II 5-1 HT 3-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Hamburg II vs St. Pauli II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg II swept aside St. Pauli II 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hamburg II as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg II had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Hamburg II and 1.00 for St. Pauli II.

What was the final score of Hamburg II vs St. Pauli II?

Hamburg II 4-1 St. Pauli II in the Germany - Regional League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg II vs St. Pauli II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hamburg II 52%, draw 29%, St. Pauli II 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
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