Chemnitzer FC 3-3 Luckenwalde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.79/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.63
+6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemnitzer FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Luckenwalde
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
02.08.2025 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-1 HT 1-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
06.04.2025 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
05.10.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-2 HT 0-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
06.04.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-2 HT 0-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
20.10.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
02.04.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Chemnitzer FC vs Luckenwalde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemnitzer FC and Luckenwalde couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Chemnitzer FC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chemnitzer FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chemnitzer FC and 0.83 for Luckenwalde.

What was the final score of Chemnitzer FC vs Luckenwalde?

Chemnitzer FC 3-3 Luckenwalde in the Germany - Regional League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemnitzer FC vs Luckenwalde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemnitzer FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chemnitzer FC 49%, draw 28%, Luckenwalde 23%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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