Omiya Ardija (K) 1-1 JEF United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 10 May 2026

Omiya Ardija (K)
1-1 HT 0-0
JEF United (K)
📅10/05/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Japan - WE League Women's – 2025/2026

Omiya Ardija (K) vs JEF United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
29%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Omiya Ardija (K) win — 60% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-2.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.1pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.0pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Omiya Ardija (K) v JEF United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.7

Omiya Ardija (K) vs JEF United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
0W-4D-1L
AWAY JEF United (K)
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.08.2025 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
06.05.2025 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) 2-2 HT 1-1 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
30.11.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
21.04.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
09.03.2024 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL

Omiya Ardija (K) 1-1 JEF United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
1-1
AWAY JEF United (K)
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija (K) vs JEF United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija (K) and JEF United (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Omiya Ardija (K) at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Omiya Ardija (K) had 38% of the ball to JEF United (K)'s 62%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, JEF United (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Omiya Ardija (K) and 1.00 for JEF United (K).

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija (K) vs JEF United (K)?

Omiya Ardija (K) 1-1 JEF United (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija (K) vs JEF United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija (K) 60%, draw 21%, JEF United (K) 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Omiya Ardija (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija (K)) ✓ BTTS Yes
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