JEF United (K) 1-1 Omiya Ardija (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.2pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.01/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.30/0.59
-1% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / +59%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
254 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United (K)
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
06.05.2025 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) 2-2 HT 1-1 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
30.11.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
21.04.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
09.03.2024 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United (K)
1-1
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
POST-MATCH JEF United (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United (K) and Omiya Ardija (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was JEF United (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, JEF United (K) had 55% of the ball to Omiya Ardija (K)'s 45%, shots finished 6-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, JEF United (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for JEF United (K) and 0.75 for Omiya Ardija (K).

What was the final score of JEF United (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

JEF United (K) 1-1 Omiya Ardija (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split JEF United (K) 42%, draw 25%, Omiya Ardija (K) 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (JEF United (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JEF United (K)) ✓ Under 2.5
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