Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-1 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
44%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.0pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+4.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.37
+9% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
2W-1D-1L
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) JWEL
14.09.2024 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
18.04.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) JWEL
09.03.2024 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
2-1
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) edged past INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) had 49% of the ball to INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)'s 51%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) and 0.50 for INAC Kobe Leonessa (K).

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-1 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 30%, draw 27%, INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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