Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 5-0 Nojima Stella (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.28
Draw
13%
5.15
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
74%
-4.3pp
13%
Draw
16%
-3.3pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.68/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.89
+23% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
08.03.2025 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 2-2 HT 0-0 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
19.10.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) JWEL
18.04.2024 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 3-1 HT 0-1 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
03.03.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
5-0
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
67% Ball Possession 33%
25 Total Shots 2
12 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) cruised past Nojima Stella (K) 5-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) had 67% of the ball to Nojima Stella (K)'s 33%, shots finished 25-2.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) and 1.00 for Nojima Stella (K).

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 5-0 Nojima Stella (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 70%, draw 13%, Nojima Stella (K) 17%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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