Tromsö 2-0 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.13
6+ Goals
9%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.53
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1 EV+ ✓
25%
4.67
X/2
9%
7.94
X/X
12%
4.98
2/1
9%
22.65
2/2
10%
5.77
2/X
8%
13.65
Value flag · X/1 at 4.67 — our 25% vs market 16.7%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.58/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.52
-22% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
18.7 Crosses 11.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Molde
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.09 xG 2.14
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
427 Passes 475
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2025 Molde Molde 2-0 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
05.07.2025 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR
28.09.2024 Molde Molde 5-3 HT 2-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
28.06.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 0-2 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
30.10.2023 Molde Molde 1-4 HT 0-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
10.04.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
2-0
AWAY Molde
1.83 xG 1.03
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
386 Passes 502
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
41 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö beat Molde 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tromsö as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Tromsö had 44% of the ball to Molde's 56%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.83 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tromsö and 1.67 for Molde.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs Molde?

Tromsö 2-0 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 50%, draw 26%, Molde 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tromsö) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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