Tromsö 1-0 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 5 Jul 2025

Tromsö
1-0 HT 0-0
Molde
📅05/07/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

Tromsö vs Molde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
3.41
6+ Goals
13%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.34
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
12%
5.42
X/2
12%
6.36
X/X
14%
4.9
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.27
2/X
5%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.5 — our 11% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tromsö v Molde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.47/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.45
+1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
16.4 Crosses 13.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Tromsö vs Molde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Molde
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.07 xG 2.59
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
403 Passes 492
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Molde Molde 5-3 HT 2-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
28.06.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 0-2 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
30.10.2023 Molde Molde 1-4 HT 0-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
10.04.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR
01.10.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 0-1 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
10.07.2022 Molde Molde 5-1 HT 3-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR

Tromsö 1-0 Molde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
1-0
AWAY Molde
0.96 xG 0.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 2
514 Passes 382
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
41 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö edged past Molde 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Tromsö found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Tromsö had 56% of the ball to Molde's 44%, shots finished 16-2, expected goals 0.96 to 0.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tromsö and 2.33 for Molde.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs Molde?

Tromsö 1-0 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 40%, draw 27%, Molde 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tromsö) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR More Norway - Eliteserien
5 Jul 2025
15:00 HamKam vs Brann Analysis →
17:00 Viking vs Stromsgodset Analysis →
19:00 Valerenga vs Fredrikstad Analysis →
21:00 Kristiansund BK vs Bodo/Glimt Analysis →