Viking 1-0 Stromsgodset — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.29
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.17
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
8.13
2-3 Goals
34%
2.39
4-5 Goals
30%
2.46
6+ Goals
20%
4.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.43
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
20.55
X/1
25%
4.17
X/2
5%
20.3
X/X
10%
10.4
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
18.05
2/2
8%
15.2
2/X
5%
23.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.05 — our 12% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
73%
-11.5pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.6pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viking EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
2.33/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.19
+20% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +0%
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
459 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
39.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
27.9 Crosses 14.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viking
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stromsgodset
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.00 xG 1.12
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
429 Passes 261
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 Viking Viking 5-2 HT 2-1 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
12.05.2024 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 0-1 HT 0-0 Viking Viking NOR
29.10.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-0 HT 1-0 Viking Viking NOR
07.05.2023 Viking Viking 1-1 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
28.05.2022 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 3-2 HT 1-1 Viking Viking NOR
12.05.2022 Viking Viking 0-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viking
1-0
AWAY Stromsgodset
2.32 xG 0.13
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
16 Corners 2
544 Passes 248
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
46 Box Touches 7
52 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH Viking vs Stromsgodset
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking edged past Stromsgodset 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Viking as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viking had 66% of the ball to Stromsgodset's 34%, shots finished 20-2, expected goals 2.32 to 0.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Viking's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Viking and 1.17 for Stromsgodset.

What was the final score of Viking vs Stromsgodset?

Viking 1-0 Stromsgodset in the Norway - Eliteserien on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viking vs Stromsgodset?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Viking 62%, draw 20%, Stromsgodset 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viking) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viking) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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