HamKam 1-1 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 5 Jul 2025

HamKam
1-1 HT 1-0
Brann
📅05/07/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.37
2-3 Goals
36%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
3.06
6+ Goals
12%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.52
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
21.9
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
6%
7.96
X/2
13%
4.87
X/X
11%
5.51
2/1
5%
33.5
2/2
24%
2.58
2/X
9%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.9 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann EU Bookmakers 52%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.02/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.34
-15% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
21.5 Crosses 16.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Brann
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.17 xG 2.37
31% Ball Possession 69%
13 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 12
155 Passes 491
61% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 44
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 HamKam HamKam 1-2 HT 0-1 Brann Brann NOR
17.04.2024 Brann Brann 1-0 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
06.08.2023 HamKam HamKam 0-2 HT 0-2 Brann Brann NOR
02.07.2023 Brann Brann 2-1 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
02.08.2008 Brann Brann 4-1 HT 1-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
28.06.2008 HamKam HamKam 0-0 HT 0-0 Brann Brann NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam
1-1
AWAY Brann
1.54 xG 2.94
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
263 Passes 526
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 49
13 Crosses 29
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Brann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HamKam and Brann shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Brann at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, HamKam had 36% of the ball to Brann's 64%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.54 to 2.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brann led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for HamKam and 1.83 for Brann.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Brann?

HamKam 1-1 Brann in the Norway - Eliteserien on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Brann?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split HamKam 28%, draw 27%, Brann 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brann), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brann) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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