Nacional Asuncion 2-1 Sportivo Trinidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.27/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.77
-4% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +56%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.03.2026 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 1-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
01.11.2025 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
18.08.2025 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-2 HT 0-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
21.05.2025 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 2-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
18.03.2025 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
22.09.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-2 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
2-1
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion squeezed past Sportivo Trinidense 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nacional Asuncion as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 59% of the ball to Sportivo Trinidense's 41%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Asuncion had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 0.67 for Sportivo Trinidense.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Nacional Asuncion 2-1 Sportivo Trinidense in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 43%, draw 27%, Sportivo Trinidense 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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