Nacional Asuncion 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 18 Mar 2025

📅18/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.10/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.10
-12% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-2 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
20.07.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
12.05.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
19.02.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
14.11.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
04.09.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-2 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
1-1
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion and Sportivo Trinidense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 41% of the ball to Sportivo Trinidense's 59%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Asuncion had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 0.67 for Sportivo Trinidense.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Nacional Asuncion 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 18/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 39%, draw 29%, Sportivo Trinidense 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nacional Asuncion), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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