Sportivo Trinidense 0-2 Nacional Asuncion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.13/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.14
+58% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
15.0 Crosses 13.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
12.05.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
19.02.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
14.11.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
04.09.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-2 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
11.06.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 2-1 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
0-2
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion got the better of Sportivo Trinidense 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Nacional Asuncion made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sportivo Trinidense had 54% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 46%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sportivo Trinidense and 1.00 for Nacional Asuncion.

What was the final score of Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion?

Sportivo Trinidense 0-2 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Trinidense 35%, draw 27%, Nacional Asuncion 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Asuncion), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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