Sportivo Trinidense 2-0 Nacional Asuncion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
30%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.3pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-7.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -24%
1.13/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.14
+29% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
218 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 80%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
15.0 Crosses 13.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.03.2025 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
22.09.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-2 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
20.07.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
12.05.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
19.02.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
14.11.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
2-0
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Trinidense got the better of Nacional Asuncion 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Sportivo Trinidense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sportivo Trinidense had 56% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 44%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Asuncion led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sportivo Trinidense and 1.17 for Nacional Asuncion.

What was the final score of Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion?

Sportivo Trinidense 2-0 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Trinidense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Trinidense 39%, draw 31%, Nacional Asuncion 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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