Amarante vs Uniao Santarem Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Amarante v Uniao Santarem — Team-Based Signals
Amarante vs Uniao Santarem Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Amarante 1-0 Uniao Santarem — Actual Match Statistics
Amarante nicked a narrow win over Uniao Santarem 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Amarante as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Amarante had 47% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 53%, shots finished 10-8.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Amarante had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Amarante and 0.50 for Uniao Santarem.
What was the final score of Amarante vs Uniao Santarem?
Amarante 1-0 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Amarante vs Uniao Santarem?
Before kick-off our model rated a Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Amarante 56%, draw 24%, Uniao Santarem 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amarante), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.