Amarante 2-0 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
21%
2.94
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.52
Over 2.5
53%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+3.4pp
21%
Draw
30%
-9.2pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
62%
-14.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
38%
+14.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amarante EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amarante
2-0
AWAY Uniao Santarem
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Amarante vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante beat Uniao Santarem 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Amarante as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Amarante had 46% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 54%, shots finished 5-7.

What was the final score of Amarante vs Uniao Santarem?

Amarante 2-0 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amarante vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Amarante 46%, draw 21%, Uniao Santarem 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amarante), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amarante) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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