SC Espinho 5-1 Almodovar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.25
Draw
15%
5.15
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
76%
-4.1pp
15%
Draw
17%
-2.0pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SC Espinho EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Almodovar EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
456 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH SC Espinho vs Almodovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Espinho cruised past Almodovar 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SC Espinho as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

What was the final score of SC Espinho vs Almodovar?

SC Espinho 5-1 Almodovar in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SC Espinho vs Almodovar?

Before kick-off our model rated a SC Espinho win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split SC Espinho 72%, draw 15%, Almodovar 13%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SC Espinho), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SC Espinho) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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