Ança 3-1 FC Vinhais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.67
Over 2.5
53%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.5pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ança EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Vinhais EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ança vs FC Vinhais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ança saw off FC Vinhais 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ança as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Ança vs FC Vinhais?

Ança 3-1 FC Vinhais in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ança vs FC Vinhais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ança win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ança 47%, draw 24%, FC Vinhais 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ança), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ança) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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