Alpendorada vs Calheta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alpendorada v Calheta — Team-Based Signals
Alpendorada 7-1 Calheta — Actual Match Statistics
Alpendorada ran out comfortable winners over Calheta 7-1. Half-time: 2-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Alpendorada as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Alpendorada had 55% of the ball to Calheta's 45%, shots finished 20-5.
What was the final score of Alpendorada vs Calheta?
Alpendorada 7-1 Calheta in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alpendorada vs Calheta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alpendorada win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Alpendorada 59%, draw 22%, Calheta 19%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alpendorada) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.