Alpendorada vs Calheta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Alpendorada v Calheta — Team-Based Signals
Alpendorada 7-1 Calheta — Actual Match Statistics
Alpendorada ran out comfortable winners over Calheta 7-1. Half-time: 2-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Alpendorada as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 46%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.66, roughly 60%.
By the numbers, possession split 55% to 45% in Alpendorada's favour, shots finished 20-5.
Alpendorada vs Calheta Result & Final Score
Alpendorada 7 - 1 Calheta in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Alpendorada vs Calheta Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Alpendorada win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Alpendorada 69%, draw 19%, Calheta 12%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alpendorada) — while BTTS No went the other way.