Naval vs Leixoes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naval v Leixoes — Team-Based Signals
Naval 0-1 Leixoes — Actual Match Statistics
Leixoes edged past Naval 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leixoes as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Naval had 43% of the ball to Leixoes's 57%, shots finished 3-14.
What was the final score of Naval vs Leixoes?
Naval 0-1 Leixoes in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naval vs Leixoes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Naval 24%, draw 26%, Leixoes 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leixoes) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.