Naval vs Leixoes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Naval v Leixoes — Team-Based Signals
Naval 0-1 Leixoes — Actual Match Statistics
Leixoes edged past Naval 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Leixoes as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
On the day, Naval had 43% of the ball to Leixoes's 57%, shots finished 3-14.
Naval vs Leixoes Result & Final Score
Naval 0 - 1 Leixoes in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Naval vs Leixoes Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Naval 18%, draw 22%, Leixoes 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leixoes) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.