Benfica Castelo Branco 7-1 Angrense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.34
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
70%
-2.7pp
16%
Draw
18%
-2.3pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica Castelo Branco EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Angrense EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
459 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Benfica Castelo Branco vs Angrense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica Castelo Branco cruised past Angrense 7-1. Half-time: 4-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Benfica Castelo Branco as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Benfica Castelo Branco vs Angrense?

Benfica Castelo Branco 7-1 Angrense in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica Castelo Branco vs Angrense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica Castelo Branco win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Benfica Castelo Branco 67%, draw 16%, Angrense 17%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica Castelo Branco) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica Castelo Branco) ✗ BTTS No
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