Sao Joao Ver 6-2 Vidigueira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
68%
-4.6pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.4pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Vidigueira EU Bookmakers 16%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
2.99/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/5.00
+9% / +144% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -47%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
405 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
6-2
AWAY Vidigueira
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sao Joao Ver vs Vidigueira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Joao Ver swept aside Vidigueira 6-2. Half-time: 3-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sao Joao Ver as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 63% of the ball to Vidigueira's 37%, shots finished 19-5.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Vidigueira?

Sao Joao Ver 6-2 Vidigueira in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Vidigueira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Joao Ver win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 64%, draw 18%, Vidigueira 19%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Joao Ver), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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