Uniao Santarem 1-2 Amarante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.46
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+8.2pp
26%
Draw
32%
-6.0pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.6pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Amarante EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
0.65/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.11
-48% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao Santarem
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Amarante
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 2
21.09.2025 Amarante Amarante 2-0 HT 1-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao Santarem
1-2
AWAY Amarante
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Uniao Santarem vs Amarante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante edged past Uniao Santarem 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Uniao Santarem at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Uniao Santarem had 51% of the ball to Amarante's 49%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Uniao Santarem vs Amarante?

Uniao Santarem 1-2 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao Santarem vs Amarante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao Santarem win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Uniao Santarem 45%, draw 26%, Amarante 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Uniao Santarem) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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