Caldas 0-1 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.7pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.7pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldas EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
0.91/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.99
-26% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldas
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Atletico CP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2025 Caldas Caldas 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
24.08.2025 Atletico CP Atletico CP 2-0 HT 1-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
19.01.2025 Caldas Caldas 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
06.10.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 4-0 HT 1-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
05.11.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 0-2 HT 0-2 Caldas Caldas POR3
08.08.2023 Caldas Caldas 3-3 HT 2-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldas
0-1
AWAY Atletico CP
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Caldas vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico CP squeezed past Caldas 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Atletico CP found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Caldas had 52% of the ball to Atletico CP's 48%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico CP led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Caldas and 1.83 for Atletico CP.

What was the final score of Caldas vs Atletico CP?

Caldas 0-1 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldas vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Caldas 37%, draw 25%, Atletico CP 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico CP), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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