Sporting Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Covilha v Lusitano Évora 1911 — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911 Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Covilha
POK
Sporting Covilha 1-3 Lusitano Évora 1911 — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitano Évora 1911 beat Sporting Covilha 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lusitano Évora 1911 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sporting Covilha had 67% of the ball to Lusitano Évora 1911's 33%, shots finished 10-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lusitano Évora 1911 led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sporting Covilha and 1.25 for Lusitano Évora 1911.
What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
Sporting Covilha 1-3 Lusitano Évora 1911 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lusitano Évora 1911 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 28%, draw 29%, Lusitano Évora 1911 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.