Union Omaha 2-2 Portland Hearts of Pine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.86/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.50
+8% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
22.1 Crosses 15.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.77 xG 0.85
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
328 Passes 219
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.10.2025 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-0 HT 0-0 Portland Hearts of Pine USL1
16.06.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine 3-1 HT 0-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
11.05.2025 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-2 HT 0-1 Portland Hearts of Pine USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
2-2
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine
2.37 xG 0.27
75% Ball Possession 25%
21 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 1
631 Passes 163
91% Pass Accuracy 67%
34 Box Touches 5
42 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Portland Hearts of Pine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha and Portland Hearts of Pine shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Union Omaha at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Union Omaha had 75% of the ball to Portland Hearts of Pine's 25%, shots finished 21-3, expected goals 2.37 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union Omaha and 1.67 for Portland Hearts of Pine.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Union Omaha 2-2 Portland Hearts of Pine in the USA - USL League 1 on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 52%, draw 24%, Portland Hearts of Pine 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Omaha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL1 More USA - USL League 1
10 May 2026
02:00 Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers Analysis →
02:30 Fort Wayne vs Westchester SC Analysis →
03:30 Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence Analysis →
05:30 Alta vs Forward Madison Analysis →