Ilves Tampere 5-2 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 10 Jun 2026

📅10/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 33% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.10/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.68
-42% / +133% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Lahti
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.50 xG 1.72
57% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
381 Passes 274
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.05.2026 FC Lahti FC Lahti 5-0 HT 3-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
29.06.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-2 HT 1-2 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
06.04.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
21.10.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-5 HT 1-3 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
03.09.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 3-2 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
03.06.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
5-2
AWAY FC Lahti
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere swept aside FC Lahti 5-2. Half-time: 4-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Ilves Tampere made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 48% of the ball to FC Lahti's 52%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Lahti led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ilves Tampere and 2.17 for FC Lahti.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs FC Lahti?

Ilves Tampere 5-2 FC Lahti in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 10/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 40%, draw 30%, FC Lahti 30%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİK More Finland - Suomen Cup
10 Jun 2026
17:00 KuPS Kuopio vs VPS Analysis →
18:00 SJK Seinajoki vs Inter Turku Analysis →