FC Lahti 5-0 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
23%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
17.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.82 — our 23% vs market 19.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.38
1/2
9%
32.0
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
13%
5.09
X/2
10%
5.99
X/X
13%
4.36
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
18%
4.35
2/X
8%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.41/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.16
-15% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
18.7 Crosses 13.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Lahti
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.17 xG 1.71
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
244 Passes 396
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-2 HT 1-2 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
06.04.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
21.10.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-5 HT 1-3 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
03.09.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 3-2 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
03.06.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
09.10.2022 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Lahti
5-0
AWAY Ilves Tampere
4.50 xG 0.44
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
428 Passes 307
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Lahti vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti ran out comfortable winners over Ilves Tampere 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; FC Lahti found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Lahti had 56% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 44%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 4.50 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Lahti and 2.00 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs Ilves Tampere?

FC Lahti 5-0 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 34%, draw 28%, Ilves Tampere 37%. The final score 5-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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