Gnistan 3-2 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
2.99
6+ Goals
9%
9.53
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 32% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.69
1/2
6%
25.0
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
13%
5.9
X/2
13%
5.75
X/X
13%
5.08
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
19%
3.53
2/X
9%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.8pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.29/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.43
+47% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
20.3 Crosses 24.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gnistan
1W-1D-4L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.31 xG 1.79
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
262 Passes 354
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-0 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
19.10.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 3-4 HT 1-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
20.07.2025 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-1 HT 0-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
16.05.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 2-2 HT 1-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
26.08.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-1 HT 0-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
28.04.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 0-1 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
3-2
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.88 xG 0.97
35% Ball Possession 65%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
150 Passes 310
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gnistan vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gnistan nicked a narrow win over SJK Seinajoki 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Gnistan found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gnistan had 35% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 65%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.88 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gnistan and 2.17 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs SJK Seinajoki?

Gnistan 3-2 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated an SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 35%, draw 27%, SJK Seinajoki 38%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
30 May 2026
15:00 HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn Analysis →
17:00 KuPS Kuopio vs Inter Turku Analysis →
17:00 TPS Turku vs VPS Analysis →
17:00 FC Lahti vs Ilves Tampere Analysis →