HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HJK Helsinki v IFK Mariehamn — Team-Based Signals
HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
HJK Helsinki 1-0 IFK Mariehamn — Actual Match Statistics
HJK Helsinki nicked a narrow win over IFK Mariehamn 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, HJK Helsinki had 63% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 37%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.96 to 1.05.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for HJK Helsinki and 1.00 for IFK Mariehamn.
What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn?
HJK Helsinki 1-0 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn?
Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 79%, draw 15%, IFK Mariehamn 6%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.