IFK Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
IFK Mariehamn v HJK Helsinki — Team-Based Signals
IFK Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 2-1
IFK Mariehamn
FİN
0-0
HT 0-0
HJK Helsinki
FİN
3-0
HT 2-0
IFK Mariehamn
FLK
1-0
HT 1-0
IFK Mariehamn
FİN
IFK Mariehamn 1-2 HJK Helsinki — Actual Match Statistics
HJK Helsinki nicked a narrow win over IFK Mariehamn 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 46% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 54%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.99 to 0.53 — on chances, IFK Mariehamn could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.83 for HJK Helsinki.
What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki?
IFK Mariehamn 1-2 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki?
Before kick-off our model rated an HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 28%, draw 30%, HJK Helsinki 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.