Gnistan 1-2 EIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 30 Jun 2024

Gnistan
1-2 HT 0-1
EIF
📅30/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2024

Gnistan vs EIF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.9
X/1
17%
3.94
X/2
8%
10.2
X/X
10%
5.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.3
2/2
10%
7.77
2/X
8%
15.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gnistan v EIF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY EIF EU Bookmakers 22%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.71/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.12
+4% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -34%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
25.0 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Gnistan vs EIF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gnistan
1W-3D-2L
AWAY EIF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.55 xG 1.12
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
328 Passes 258
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.06.2024 EIF EIF 1-0 HT 0-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
24.02.2024 EIF EIF 2-5 HT 0-5 Gnistan Gnistan FLK
20.01.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 1-1 HT 1-0 EIF EIF HAZ
07.10.2023 EIF EIF 3-3 HT 2-1 Gnistan Gnistan FINY
15.07.2023 EIF EIF 1-0 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
07.05.2023 Gnistan Gnistan 0-0 HT 0-0 EIF EIF FİN2

Gnistan 1-2 EIF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
1-2
AWAY EIF
2.85 xG 1.11
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
485 Passes 172
87% Pass Accuracy 66%
50 Box Touches 20
45 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gnistan vs EIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EIF squeezed past Gnistan 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gnistan at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Gnistan had 69% of the ball to EIF's 31%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.85 to 1.11 — the balance of chances actually favoured Gnistan.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, EIF led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gnistan and 1.33 for EIF.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs EIF?

Gnistan 1-2 EIF in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs EIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 49%, draw 27%, EIF 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gnistan), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gnistan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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