HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HJK Helsinki v IFK Mariehamn — Team-Based Signals
HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
HJK Helsinki 0-1 IFK Mariehamn — Actual Match Statistics
IFK Mariehamn squeezed past HJK Helsinki 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was HJK Helsinki at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, HJK Helsinki had 63% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 37%, shots finished 17-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for HJK Helsinki and 0.83 for IFK Mariehamn.
What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn?
HJK Helsinki 0-1 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - League Cup on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn?
Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 47%, draw 32%, IFK Mariehamn 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (HJK Helsinki), BTTS Yes went the other way.