SJK Seinajoki 3-1 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.09
2-3 Goals
43%
2.01
4-5 Goals
25%
2.83
6+ Goals
13%
7.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.35
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.1
X/1
12%
4.77
X/2
10%
8.78
X/X
11%
6.05
2/1
6%
20.4
2/2
17%
5.99
2/X
5%
14.1
Value flag · 1/X at 13.1 — our 10% vs market 5.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.2pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.98/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.27
+13% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
412 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
24.4 Crosses 18.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Gnistan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 1.79
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
353 Passes 246
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 26
29 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 2-2 HT 1-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
26.08.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-1 HT 0-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
28.04.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 0-1 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
3-1
AWAY Gnistan
1.35 xG 0.94
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
371 Passes 246
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 21
33 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs Gnistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki got the better of Gnistan 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SJK Seinajoki as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 58% of the ball to Gnistan's 42%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.35 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 1.00 for Gnistan.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs Gnistan?

SJK Seinajoki 3-1 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 42%, draw 26%, Gnistan 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Seinajoki), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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