SJK Seinajoki 3-0 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.39
No
36%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
8.9
2-3 Goals
36%
2.45
4-5 Goals
31%
2.32
6+ Goals
16%
3.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.77
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
3%
15.3
X/1
12%
4.62
X/2
4%
12.65
X/X
9%
9.03
2/1 EV+ ✗
17%
16.1
2/2
8%
8.16
2/X
7%
16.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 16.1 — our 17% vs market 3.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
63%
-0.2pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.6pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+10.8pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-10.9pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.9pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.97/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.70
+3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
25.8 Crosses 14.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Gnistan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.69 xG 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
346 Passes 245
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 25
30 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 3-4 HT 1-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
20.07.2025 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-1 HT 0-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
16.05.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 2-2 HT 1-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
26.08.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-1 HT 0-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
28.04.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 0-1 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
3-0
AWAY Gnistan
2.21 xG 1.23
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
396 Passes 348
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs Gnistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki swept aside Gnistan 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had SJK Seinajoki as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 53% of the ball to Gnistan's 47%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.21 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 1.40 for Gnistan.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs Gnistan?

SJK Seinajoki 3-0 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 63%, draw 19%, Gnistan 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Seinajoki), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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