HJK Helsinki 0-2 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.39
No
36%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.94
2-3 Goals
38%
2.08
4-5 Goals
29%
2.53
6+ Goals
11%
5.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.1
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
5%
12.3
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
5.87
X/2
14%
6.8
X/X
12%
6.26
2/1
5%
21.55
2/2
14%
3.88
2/X
8%
12.5
Value flag · X/1 at 5.87 — our 25% vs market 13.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.8pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.6pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.48/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.09
+25% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
18.3 Crosses 18.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
2W-1D-3L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.02 xG 1.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
510 Passes 352
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
20.09.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİK
27.06.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-0 HT 2-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
31.05.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 0-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
15.03.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-1 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
19.10.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
0-2
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.05 xG 1.39
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
459 Passes 498
89% Pass Accuracy 90%
24 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio got the better of HJK Helsinki 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was HJK Helsinki at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 48% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 52%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.05 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HJK Helsinki and 1.33 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs KuPS Kuopio?

HJK Helsinki 0-2 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 41%, draw 25%, KuPS Kuopio 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
9 Nov 2025
16:00 Inter Turku vs Ilves Tampere Analysis →
16:00 SJK Seinajoki vs Gnistan Analysis →