HJK Helsinki 1-0 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.0
Over 2.5
41%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.3pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.74/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.93
+64% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
2W-1D-3L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.12 xG 1.45
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
426 Passes 370
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.06.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-0 HT 2-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
31.05.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 0-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
15.03.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-1 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
19.10.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
19.06.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-1 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
06.04.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
1-0
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki edged past KuPS Kuopio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day HJK Helsinki made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 36% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 64%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for HJK Helsinki and 1.50 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs KuPS Kuopio?

HJK Helsinki 1-0 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 36%, draw 26%, KuPS Kuopio 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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