KuPS Kuopio 3-0 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
8.84
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.51 — our 26% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.57
1/2
10%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.4
X/1
11%
5.99
X/2
11%
6.13
X/X
14%
5.35
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
15%
3.7
2/X
9%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.7pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.09/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.51
-11% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 83%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
15.8 Crosses 16.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
3W-1D-2L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.23 xG 0.99
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
362 Passes 366
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 0-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
15.03.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-1 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
19.10.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
19.06.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-1 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
06.04.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
21.10.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-2 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
3-0
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.80 xG 1.55
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 3
403 Passes 492
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
26 Box Touches 36
19 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio swept aside HJK Helsinki 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; KuPS Kuopio found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 47% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 53%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.80 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 1.33 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs HJK Helsinki?

KuPS Kuopio 3-0 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 36%, draw 28%, HJK Helsinki 36%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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