Gnistan 2-2 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.79
1/2
10%
21.25
1/X EV+ ✓
12%
15.2
X/1
10%
9.24
X/2
14%
4.48
X/X
8%
5.78
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
19%
2.25
2/X
6%
13.9
Value flag · 1/X at 15.2 — our 12% vs market 4.1%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-10.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 57%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.12/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.56
+16% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
18.2 Crosses 13.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gnistan
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Inter Turku
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.84 xG 1.74
42% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
276 Passes 388
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-0 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
15.02.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-0 HT 0-0 Gnistan Gnistan FLK
19.10.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-2 HT 2-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
22.07.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-2 HT 1-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
06.04.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 2-1 HT 2-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
07.02.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-2 HT 1-1 Gnistan Gnistan FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
2-2
AWAY Inter Turku
0.99 xG 1.77
32% Ball Possession 68%
14 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 12
161 Passes 424
65% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 44
10 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gnistan vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gnistan and Inter Turku couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Turku at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Gnistan had 32% of the ball to Inter Turku's 68%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 0.99 to 1.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gnistan and 2.00 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs Inter Turku?

Gnistan 2-2 Inter Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 30%, draw 27%, Inter Turku 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Turku) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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