10/07/2024
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
2-1
HNK Gorica vs Triglav Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
27%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
68%
22%
Draw
18%
25%
Away Win
14%
43%
Under 2.5
34%
57%
Over 2.5
66%
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
43%
BTTS No
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HNK Gorica v Triglav — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
HNK Gorica
EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY
Triglav
EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-8% /
-8%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+22%
/
-55%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
18
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
415 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
262 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
HNK Gorica vs Triglav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
HNK Gorica ran out comfortable winners over Triglav 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had HNK Gorica as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Triglav?
HNK Gorica 3-0 Triglav in the Friendlies on 10/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Triglav?
Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 53%, draw 22%, Triglav 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HNK Gorica), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (HNK Gorica)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
10 Jul 2024