Nashville SC vs DC United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nashville SC v DC United — Team-Based Signals
Nashville SC vs DC United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
DC United
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
Nashville SC
ABD
Nashville SC 5-2 DC United — Actual Match Statistics
Nashville SC swept aside DC United 5-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Nashville SC had 58% of the ball to DC United's 42%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.61 to 0.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nashville SC and 1.17 for DC United.
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs DC United?
Nashville SC 5-2 DC United in the USA - Open Cup on 10/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs DC United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 51%, draw 25%, DC United 25%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.