NSI Runavik 4-0 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 10 Jul 2025

📅10/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
34%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.72
6+ Goals
14%
7.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
30%
+9.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
34%
Away Win
46%
-12.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.3pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NSI Runavik EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -46%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
Crosses 9.0
Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NSI Runavik
4-0
AWAY HJK Helsinki
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH NSI Runavik vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NSI Runavik swept aside HJK Helsinki 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; NSI Runavik found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, NSI Runavik had 50% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 50%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of NSI Runavik vs HJK Helsinki?

NSI Runavik 4-0 HJK Helsinki in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 10/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NSI Runavik vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated a NSI Runavik win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split NSI Runavik 40%, draw 26%, HJK Helsinki 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NSI Runavik), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NSI Runavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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