Tre Fiori 1-0 Pyunik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 10 Jul 2025

📅10/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
12.23
Draw
24%
5.71
Away
52%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.33
No
51%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.65
6+ Goals
10%
6.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
6%
+18.4pp
24%
Draw
15%
+9.7pp
52%
Away Win
80%
-28.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
39%
+10.3pp
51%
BTTS No
61%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tre Fiori EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Pyunik EU Bookmakers 84%
+78% / +78% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+150% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% /
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
246 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tre Fiori
1-0
AWAY Pyunik
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tre Fiori vs Pyunik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tre Fiori squeezed past Pyunik 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pyunik at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tre Fiori had 30% of the ball to Pyunik's 70%, shots finished 4-23.

What was the final score of Tre Fiori vs Pyunik?

Tre Fiori 1-0 Pyunik in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 10/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tre Fiori vs Pyunik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pyunik win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tre Fiori 24%, draw 24%, Pyunik 52%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Pyunik), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pyunik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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