Valur 3-0 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 10 Jul 2025

📅10/07/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
24%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.3
2-3 Goals
35%
1.99
4-5 Goals
29%
2.56
6+ Goals
14%
5.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-15.4pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.8pp
24%
Away Win
12%
+11.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 15%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.50
-13% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +48%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
Crosses 16.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
3-0
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valur vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur cruised past FC Flora Tallinn 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Valur had 53% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 47%, shots finished 8-2.

What was the final score of Valur vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Valur 3-0 FC Flora Tallinn in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 10/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Valur 55%, draw 21%, FC Flora Tallinn 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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